{"id":4252,"date":"2026-03-02T11:06:52","date_gmt":"2026-03-02T08:06:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.durmusotomotiv.net\/?p=4252"},"modified":"2026-03-03T20:23:56","modified_gmt":"2026-03-03T17:23:56","slug":"idman-proqnozlarinda-msul-yanasma-mlumat-v-intizam","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.durmusotomotiv.net\/index.php\/2026\/03\/02\/idman-proqnozlarinda-msul-yanasma-mlumat-v-intizam\/","title":{"rendered":"Idman Proqnozlar\u0131nda M\u0259sul Yana\u015fma – M\u0259lumat v\u0259 \u0130ntizam"},"content":{"rendered":"Idman Proqnozlar\u0131nda M\u0259sul Yana\u015fma – M\u0259lumat v\u0259 \u0130ntizam<\/title><\/p>\n<h1>Azerbaycanda Idman Proqnozlar\u0131n\u0131n Elmi \u018fsaslar\u0131 – M\u0259lumat M\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259ri v\u0259 Zehni T\u0259hrifl\u0259r<\/h1>\n<p>Idman proqnozlar\u0131 sah\u0259si t\u0259kc\u0259 h\u0259v\u0259s v\u0259 intuisiya deyil, m\u00fcr\u0259kk\u0259b m\u0259lumat analizi, psixoloji intizam v\u0259 sistemli yana\u015fma t\u0259l\u0259b edir. Azerbaycanda bu f\u0259aliyy\u0259t getdikc\u0259 daha \u00e7ox idman maraql\u0131lar\u0131 t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n maraqla qar\u015f\u0131lan\u0131r, lakin u\u011furlu n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259r \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn s\u0259thi bax\u0131\u015f kifay\u0259t etmir. Bu m\u0259qal\u0259d\u0259 proqnozlar\u0131n qurulmas\u0131nda m\u0259suliyy\u0259tli metodologiyan\u0131 ara\u015fd\u0131racaq, etibarl\u0131 m\u0259lumat m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259rinin rolu, q\u0259rarlara t\u0259sir ed\u0259n zehni t\u0259hrifl\u0259r v\u0259 Azerbaycan kontekstind\u0259 z\u0259ruri olan intizam prinsipl\u0259ri \u00fcz\u0259rind\u0259 dayanaca\u011f\u0131q. M\u00fcasir texnologiyalar, o c\u00fcml\u0259d\u0259n <a href=\"https:\/\/sweatersapp.com\/\">https:\/\/sweatersapp.com\/<\/a> kimi platformalar t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n t\u0259qdim olunan m\u0259lumat toplama vasit\u0259l\u0259ri d\u0259 daxil olmaqla, geni\u015f analitik imkanlar yarad\u0131r, lakin onlardan s\u0259m\u0259r\u0259li istifad\u0259 x\u00fcsusi bilik v\u0259 metodologiya t\u0259l\u0259b edir.<\/p>\n<h2>Proqnozun \u018fsas\u0131 – Etibarl\u0131 M\u0259lumat M\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259rinin T\u0259snifat\u0131<\/h2>\n<p>Keyfiyy\u0259tli idman proqnozunun ilk add\u0131m\u0131 d\u00fczg\u00fcn v\u0259 \u00e7ox\u015fax\u0259li m\u0259lumat bazas\u0131n\u0131n formala\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131d\u0131r. Azerbaycan istifad\u0259\u00e7il\u0259ri \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bu, h\u0259m beyn\u0259lxalq, h\u0259m d\u0259 yerli m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259rin balansla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutur. M\u0259lumatlar\u0131n etibarl\u0131l\u0131q d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259si onlar\u0131n t\u0259bi\u0259tind\u0259n v\u0259 yoxlan\u0131lma qabiliyy\u0259tind\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131d\u0131r. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131dak\u0131 c\u0259dv\u0259ld\u0259 \u0259sas m\u0259lumat kateqoriyalar\u0131 v\u0259 onlar\u0131n t\u0259hlild\u0259ki rolunu g\u00f6r\u0259 bil\u0259rsiniz.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>M\u0259lumat Kateqoriyas\u0131<\/th>\n<th>\u018fsas X\u00fcsusiyy\u0259tl\u0259r<\/th>\n<th>T\u0259hlild\u0259ki \u018fh\u0259miyy\u0259t D\u0259r\u0259c\u0259si<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Statistika (r\u0259smi)<\/td>\n<td>Klub v\u0259 milli komandalar\u0131n oyun statistikas\u0131, FIFA, UEFA, AFFA r\u0259smi hesabatlar\u0131<\/td>\n<td>Y\u00fcks\u0259k – k\u0259miyy\u0259t t\u0259hlilinin \u0259sas\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259\u015fkil edir<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u0130dman\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n v\u0259ziyy\u0259ti<\/td>\n<td>Z\u0259d\u0259l\u0259r, c\u0259za v\u0259ziyy\u0259ti, transfer x\u0259b\u0259rl\u0259ri, m\u0259\u015fq intensivliyi<\/td>\n<td>Y\u00fcks\u0259k – birba\u015fa n\u0259tic\u0259y\u0259 t\u0259sir g\u00f6st\u0259rir<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Taktiki Analiz<\/td>\n<td>Komandalar\u0131n oyun sxeml\u0259ri, m\u00fcdafi\u0259\/h\u00fccum x\u0259tl\u0259ri, strategiya d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259ri<\/td>\n<td>Y\u00fcks\u0259k – keyfiyy\u0259t t\u0259hlili \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn vacibdir<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Psixoloji Amill\u0259r<\/td>\n<td>Komandan\u0131n m\u0259n\u0259vi v\u0259ziyy\u0259ti, derbi oyunlar\u0131, \u00e7empionatda m\u00f6vqe<\/td>\n<td>Orta – q\u0259rar\u0131 tamamlay\u0131c\u0131 amildir<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Xarici \u015e\u0259rait<\/td>\n<td>Hava, meydan\u00e7an\u0131n v\u0259ziyy\u0259ti, s\u0259f\u0259r \u00e7\u0259tinlikl\u0259ri, vaxt qur\u015fa\u011f\u0131<\/td>\n<td>Orta – m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n idman n\u00f6vl\u0259rind\u0259 daha vacibdir<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u0130qtisadi G\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259r<\/td>\n<td>Klublar\u0131n b\u00fcdc\u0259si, oyun\u00e7u d\u0259y\u0259ri, maliyy\u0259 sabitliyi<\/td>\n<td>A\u015fa\u011f\u0131dan ortaya – uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli trendl\u0259r \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>M\u0259tbuat v\u0259 M\u00fct\u0259x\u0259ssis R\u0259yl\u0259ri<\/td>\n<td>Yerli v\u0259 beyn\u0259lxalq media, ke\u00e7mi\u015f idman\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n t\u0259hlill\u0259ri<\/td>\n<td>A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 – subyektivliy\u0259 meylli, yoxlan\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00e7\u0259tindir<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\u0130stifad\u0259\u00e7i v\u0259 Market M\u0259lumatlar\u0131<\/td>\n<td>\u0130ctimai r\u0259y sor\u011fular\u0131, m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n platformalarda m\u0259rc h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259tl\u0259ri<\/td>\n<td>A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 – zehni t\u0259hrifl\u0259 \u00e7arpazla\u015fa bil\u0259r<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>Azerbaycan kontekstind\u0259 yerli futbol liqas\u0131, AFFA-n\u0131n r\u0259smi statistikalar\u0131 v\u0259 yerli idman media m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259ri x\u00fcsusi diqq\u0259t t\u0259l\u0259b edir. Beyn\u0259lxalq m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 m\u00fcqayis\u0259d\u0259 burada m\u0259lumatlar\u0131n d\u0259qiqliyi v\u0259 vaxt\u0131nda \u00e7atd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 b\u0259z\u0259n problemli ola bil\u0259r. Buna g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259 m\u0259sul yana\u015fma bir ne\u00e7\u0259 m\u00fcst\u0259qil m\u0259nb\u0259d\u0259n m\u0259lumat\u0131n yoxlan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 v\u0259 kross-verifikasiya metodunu t\u0259tbiq etm\u0259yi t\u0259l\u0259b edir.<\/p>\n<h2>Zehni T\u0259hrifl\u0259r – Proqnoz Q\u0259rar\u0131n\u0131 Nec\u0259 Pozurlar<\/h2>\n<p>\u0130nsan beyni m\u0259lumatlar\u0131 emosional v\u0259 qeyri-\u015f\u00fcuri filtrl\u0259r vasit\u0259sil\u0259 q\u0259bul edir. Bu psixoloji mexanizml\u0259r, zehni t\u0259hrifl\u0259r kimi tan\u0131n\u0131r v\u0259 idman proqnozlar\u0131 zaman\u0131 s\u0259hv q\u0259rarlar\u0131n \u0259sas s\u0259b\u0259bl\u0259rind\u0259n biridir. Azerbaycan idman ictimaiyy\u0259tind\u0259 d\u0259, x\u00fcsus\u0259n d\u0259 milli komandaya v\u0259 sevimli klublara dair g\u00fccl\u00fc emosional \u0259laq\u0259 bu t\u0259hrifl\u0259ri daha da g\u00fccl\u0259ndirir.<\/p>\n<p>\u018fn t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259li zehni t\u0259hrifl\u0259rd\u0259n biri <strong>t\u0259sdiq meyli<\/strong>dir. Bu, insan\u0131n \u00f6z ilkin fikrini d\u0259st\u0259kl\u0259y\u0259n m\u0259lumatlar\u0131 axtar\u0131b, \u0259ks s\u00fcbutlar\u0131 m\u0259ntiqi s\u0259b\u0259bl\u0259rl\u0259 r\u0259dd etm\u0259si dem\u0259kdir. M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, Qaraba\u011f FK-n\u0131n q\u0259l\u0259b\u0259sini proqnozla\u015fd\u0131ran bir \u015f\u0259xs yaln\u0131z komandan\u0131n g\u00fccl\u00fc oyununa dair statistikaya diqq\u0259t yetir\u0259, z\u0259d\u0259l\u0259r v\u0259 ya yor\u011funluq kimi m\u0259nfi amill\u0259ri is\u0259 g\u00f6rm\u0259z\u0259 bil\u0259r. Dig\u0259r bir yay\u0131lm\u0131\u015f t\u0259hrif <strong>sonluq effekti<\/strong>dir, y\u0259ni \u0259n son ba\u015f vermi\u015f hadis\u0259l\u0259r\u0259 h\u0259ddind\u0259n art\u0131q \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259t verm\u0259k. Komandan\u0131n ke\u00e7\u0259n h\u0259ft\u0259 ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 yax\u015f\u0131 n\u0259tic\u0259 g\u0259l\u0259n oyunda da t\u0259krar olunacaq dey\u0259 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u0259k bura aiddir.<\/p>\n<h3>Proqnoz\u00e7ular \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcn \u018fn Z\u0259r\u0259rli Psixoloji T\u0259l\u0259l\u0259r<\/h3>\n<p>Bu t\u0259hrifl\u0259ri tan\u0131maq onlar\u0131n t\u0259sirini azaltmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn ilk add\u0131md\u0131r. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131dak\u0131 siyah\u0131da idman t\u0259hlilind\u0259 \u0259n \u00e7ox rast g\u0259lin\u0259n v\u0259 q\u0259rarlar\u0131 \u0259n \u00e7ox pozan psixoloji amill\u0259r verilmi\u015fdir.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>\u00d6z\u00fcn\u0259 h\u0259ddind\u0259n art\u0131q g\u00fcv\u0259n<\/strong> – m\u00fcr\u0259kk\u0259b v\u0259 qeyri-m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n v\u0259ziyy\u0259td\u0259 \u00f6z bacar\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 v\u0259 m\u0259lumat\u0131n\u0131 oldu\u011fundan y\u00fcks\u0259k qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirm\u0259k. Bu, riskin h\u0259qiqi \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc qiym\u0259tl\u0259ndirm\u0259y\u0259 mane olur.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Qrupa uy\u011funla\u015fma meyli<\/strong> – ictimai r\u0259y\u0259 v\u0259 ya m\u00fct\u0259x\u0259ssisl\u0259rin \u00e7oxlu\u011funun fikrin\u0259 uy\u011fun q\u0259rar q\u0259bul etm\u0259k. Bu, m\u00fcst\u0259qil t\u0259hlili s\u00fcst\u00fcr v\u0259 potensial d\u0259y\u0259rli alternativ bax\u0131\u015f bucaqlar\u0131n\u0131 gizl\u0259dir.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0130tki nifr\u0259ti<\/strong> – itkid\u0259n qa\u00e7maq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn qazanmaq ehtimal\u0131ndan daha \u00e7ox s\u0259y g\u00f6st\u0259rm\u0259k. Proqnozda bu, m\u0259\u011flubiyy\u0259t ehtimal\u0131 olan, lakin emosional olaraq “t\u0259hl\u00fck\u0259siz” g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u0259n se\u00e7iml\u0259r etm\u0259y\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259b ola bil\u0259r.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Heys v\u0259 Haloa effekti<\/strong> – bir x\u00fcsusiyy\u0259t\u0259 g\u00f6r\u0259 \u00fcmumi t\u0259ss\u00fcrat yaratmaq. M\u0259\u015fhur v\u0259 ya \u00e7ox sevil\u0259n bir oyun\u00e7unun i\u015ftirak\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fct\u00fcn komandan\u0131n n\u0259tic\u0259sini m\u00fcsb\u0259t istiqam\u0259tl\u0259ndir\u0259c\u0259yi f\u0259rziyy\u0259si bura aiddir.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Statistik sabitlik ill\u00fcziyas\u0131<\/strong> – q\u0131sa m\u00fcdd\u0259tli u\u011fur seriyas\u0131n\u0131 uzunm\u00fcdd\u0259tli qanunauy\u011funluq kimi q\u0259bul etm\u0259k. Be\u015f oyun qalib g\u0259lmi\u015f komandan\u0131n alt\u0131nc\u0131 d\u0259f\u0259 d\u0259 qazanaca\u011f\u0131na dair d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnc\u0259 tipik n\u00fcmun\u0259dir.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Ankorinq effekti<\/strong> – ilk \u0259ld\u0259 edil\u0259n m\u0259lumat\u0131n (m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, ilkin \u0259msallar\u0131n) sonrak\u0131 b\u00fct\u00fcn t\u0259hlil\u0259 h\u0259ddind\u0259n art\u0131q t\u0259sir etm\u0259si. Bu, yeni m\u0259lumatlar \u00e7\u0131xanda bel\u0259 ilkin fikri d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259m\u0259y\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259b olur.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Bu t\u0259l\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n qa\u00e7\u0131nmaq \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn sistemli yana\u015fma t\u0259l\u0259b olunur. M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, h\u0259r bir proqnozdan \u0259vv\u0259l \u00f6z fikrinizi \u0259sasland\u0131ran \u0259n az\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7 \u0259ks arqument yazmaq faydal\u0131 ola bil\u0259r. Bu, t\u0259sdiq meylini aradan qald\u0131rma\u011fa k\u00f6m\u0259k edir.<\/p>\n<h2>\u0130ntizam \u00c7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259si – Q\u0259rarlar\u0131n Sisteml\u0259\u015fdirilm\u0259si<\/h2>\n<p>M\u0259sul proqnoz f\u0259aliyy\u0259ti anl\u0131q q\u0259rarlar deyil, \u0259vv\u0259lc\u0259d\u0259n m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n edilmi\u015f prinsipl\u0259r \u00e7\u0259r\u00e7iv\u0259sind\u0259 h\u0259r\u0259k\u0259t etm\u0259k dem\u0259kdir. Bu intizam \u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc bir ne\u00e7\u0259 sah\u0259d\u0259 g\u00f6st\u0259rir: kapital\u0131n idar\u0259 edilm\u0259si, emosional n\u0259zar\u0259t v\u0259 daimi \u00f6yr\u0259nm\u0259 prosesi. Azerbaycanl\u0131 t\u0259hlil\u00e7i \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn bu, h\u0259m d\u0259 yerli idman m\u00fchitinin spesifikas\u0131n\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alma\u011f\u0131 t\u0259l\u0259b edir – m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, liqan\u0131n g\u00fcc balans\u0131ndak\u0131 d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r v\u0259 ya m\u00f6vs\u00fcmd\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131 olaraq oyun keyfiyy\u0259tind\u0259ki d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r.<\/p>\n<p>Kapital\u0131n idar\u0259 edilm\u0259si prinsipial olaraq \u0259n m\u00fch\u00fcm amildir. Bu, h\u0259r bir proqnoza ay\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z resursun (m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, \u015f\u0259rti vahidl\u0259rin) \u00fcmumi b\u00fcdc\u0259nizin sabit v\u0259 ki\u00e7ik bir faizi olmas\u0131 dem\u0259kdir. \u00dcmumi q\u0259bul edilmi\u015f t\u00f6vsiy\u0259 bir vahid \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn 1-5% aras\u0131 h\u0259ddi ke\u00e7m\u0259m\u0259kdir. Bu, bir s\u0131ra u\u011fursuz proqnozlardan sonra bel\u0259 f\u0259aliyy\u0259ti davam etdirm\u0259y\u0259 imkan verir. Emosional n\u0259zar\u0259t is\u0259 q\u0259bul edilmi\u015f qaydalara sadiq qalmaq, uduzandan sonra “qaytar\u0131lma” m\u0259rc etm\u0259m\u0259k v\u0259 q\u0259l\u0259b\u0259 seriyas\u0131 zaman\u0131 \u00f6z\u00fcn\u0259 h\u0259ddind\u0259n art\u0131q g\u00fcv\u0259nm\u0259m\u0259k dem\u0259kdir.<\/p>\n<h3>F\u0259rdi Proqnoz Protokolunun Elementl\u0259ri<\/h3>\n<p>H\u0259r bir proqnozun qeydiyyata al\u0131nmas\u0131 v\u0259 sonradan t\u0259hlili intizam\u0131 g\u00fccl\u0259ndirir. Bu protokol a\u015fa\u011f\u0131dak\u0131 m\u0259qamlar\u0131 \u0259hat\u0259 etm\u0259lidir.<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>Oyunun identifikasiyas\u0131<\/strong>: Komandalar, tarix, \u00e7empionat, m\u0259rh\u0259l\u0259.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Q\u0259rar\u0131n \u0259sasland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131<\/strong>: Hans\u0131 \u0259sas m\u0259lumat v\u0259 t\u0259hlil n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 bu proqnoz verilir. Burada statistik g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259r, taktiki uy\u011funluq, \u0259sas amill\u0259r qeyd olunur.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Risk faktorlar\u0131n\u0131n siyah\u0131s\u0131<\/strong>: Proqnozun realla\u015fmas\u0131na mane ola bil\u0259c\u0259k b\u00fct\u00fcn m\u0259lum amill\u0259r (z\u0259d\u0259l\u0259r, motivasiya probleml\u0259ri, xarici \u015f\u0259rait).<\/li>\n<li><strong>Zehni t\u0259hrif yoxlamas\u0131<\/strong>: Bu q\u0259rarda hans\u0131 psixoloji t\u0259l\u0259nin t\u0259siri ola bil\u0259r? Bu add\u0131m \u015f\u00fcurlu \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 t\u0259hrifl\u0259ri neytralla\u015fd\u0131rma\u011fa k\u00f6m\u0259k edir.<\/li>\n<li><strong>N\u0259tic\u0259nin qeyd edilm\u0259si v\u0259 t\u0259hlili<\/strong>: Oyunun n\u0259tic\u0259si, proqnozun d\u00fczg\u00fcn\/yanl\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131. S\u0259hv proqnoz zaman\u0131 s\u0259b\u0259bl\u0259rin t\u0259hlili – bu, m\u0259lumat \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131, t\u0259hrifin t\u0259siri, yaxud metodoloji s\u0259hv idi?<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Bel\u0259 bir g\u00fcnd\u0259lik saxlanmas\u0131 f\u0259rdi z\u0259if v\u0259 g\u00fccl\u00fc t\u0259r\u0259fl\u0259ri m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n etm\u0259y\u0259, t\u0259krar ed\u0259n s\u0259hvl\u0259ri aradan qald\u0131rma\u011fa imkan verir. M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n edil\u0259 bil\u0259r ki, konkret bir \u00e7empionatda v\u0259 ya konkret tipli oyunlarda (m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, derbil\u0259rd\u0259) proqnozlar\u0131n d\u0259qiqliyi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Bu, g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259kd\u0259 bu kateqoriyalarda daha ehtiyatl\u0131 olma\u011fa v\u0259 ya onlardan tamamil\u0259 uzaq durma\u011fa \u0259sas verir. For background definitions and terminology, refer to <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Sports_analytics\">sports analytics overview<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>Texnologiyan\u0131n Rolu – Analitik Al\u0259tl\u0259r v\u0259 Onlar\u0131n M\u0259hdudiyy\u0259tl\u0259ri<\/h2>\n<p>Son ill\u0259rd\u0259 idman analitikas\u0131 sah\u0259sind\u0259ki texnoloji inki\u015faflar proqnoz qurma prosesini k\u00f6k\u00fcnd\u0259n d\u0259yi\u015fdirib. Ma\u015f\u0131n \u00f6yr\u0259nm\u0259si, b\u00f6y\u00fck m\u0259lumatlar\u0131n emal\u0131 v\u0259 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131rma modell\u0259ri indi h\u0259. For general context and terms, see <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Sports_analytics\">sports analytics overview<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Bu al\u0259tl\u0259r \u0259sas\u0259n ke\u00e7mi\u015f performans m\u0259lumatlar\u0131n\u0131 emal ed\u0259r\u0259k m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n n\u00fcmun\u0259l\u0259ri v\u0259 korrelyasiyalar\u0131 m\u00fc\u0259yy\u0259n edir. Onlar oyun\u00e7ular\u0131n v\u0259 komandalar\u0131n statistik g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259rini, oyun \u015f\u0259raitini v\u0259 dig\u0259r y\u00fczl\u0259rl\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015f\u0259ni n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 ala bilir. Lakin, bu modell\u0259rin effektivliyi onlara daxil edil\u0259n m\u0259lumatlar\u0131n keyfiyy\u0259tind\u0259n v\u0259 taml\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan as\u0131l\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Texnoloji al\u0259tl\u0259rin \u0259sas m\u0259hdudiyy\u0259ti onlar\u0131n insan amill\u0259rini v\u0259 keyfiyy\u0259t g\u00f6st\u0259ricil\u0259rini k\u0259miyy\u0259tl\u0259\u015fdir\u0259 bilm\u0259m\u0259sind\u0259dir. Komandan\u0131n daxili m\u00fcnasib\u0259tl\u0259ri, m\u0259\u015fq\u00e7inin q\u0259rar q\u0259bul etm\u0259 \u00fcslubu, oyun g\u00fcn\u00fcnd\u0259ki psixoloji v\u0259ziyy\u0259t kimi amill\u0259r \u00e7ox vaxt r\u0259q\u0259ml\u0259r\u0259 tam \u00e7evril\u0259 bilmir. Buna g\u00f6r\u0259 d\u0259, \u0259n yax\u015f\u0131 yana\u015fma texnoloji analitikan\u0131 insan m\u00fchakim\u0259si v\u0259 kontekst anlay\u0131\u015f\u0131 il\u0259 birl\u0259\u015fdirm\u0259kdir.<\/p>\n<p>Proqnoz qurma prosesind\u0259 texnologiya d\u0259y\u0259rli bir k\u00f6m\u0259k\u00e7i ola bil\u0259r, lakin o, q\u0259rar q\u0259buledicinin yerini tuta bilm\u0259z. M\u0259qs\u0259d, ma\u015f\u0131n hesablamalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcr\u0259tini v\u0259 tutumunu analitikin d\u0259rinliyi v\u0259 t\u0259cr\u00fcb\u0259 il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259l\u0259ndirm\u0259kdir. Bu sintez daha sabit v\u0259 \u0259sasland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259r \u0259ld\u0259 etm\u0259y\u0259 imkan verir.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130dman proqnozla\u015fd\u0131rmas\u0131 davaml\u0131 \u00f6yr\u0259nm\u0259 v\u0259 uy\u011funla\u015fma t\u0259l\u0259b ed\u0259n bir f\u0259aliyy\u0259tdir. Bazar \u015f\u0259raitinin, komandalar\u0131n v\u0259 oyun qaydalar\u0131n\u0131n d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259si il\u0259 metodlar da yenil\u0259nm\u0259lidir. M\u00fcv\u0259ff\u0259qiyy\u0259t, m\u00f6hk\u0259m bir metodologiyan\u0131n, intizaml\u0131 yana\u015fman\u0131n v\u0259 h\u0259m m\u0259lumatlar\u0131n, h\u0259m d\u0259 \u00f6z q\u0259rarlar\u0131n\u0131n t\u0259nqidi t\u0259hlilin\u0259 haz\u0131r olma\u011f\u0131n birl\u0259\u015fm\u0259sind\u0259n qaynaqlan\u0131r. Bu yana\u015fma t\u0259sad\u00fcfi n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259rd\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 azaldaraq, proqnoz qabiliyy\u0259tini zamanla inki\u015faf etdirm\u0259y\u0259 k\u00f6m\u0259k edir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Idman Proqnozlar\u0131nda M\u0259sul Yana\u015fma – M\u0259lumat v\u0259 \u0130ntizam Azerbaycanda Idman Proqnozlar\u0131n\u0131n Elmi \u018fsaslar\u0131 – M\u0259lumat M\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259ri v\u0259 Zehni T\u0259hrifl\u0259r Idman proqnozlar\u0131 sah\u0259si t\u0259kc\u0259 h\u0259v\u0259s v\u0259 intuisiya deyil, m\u00fcr\u0259kk\u0259b m\u0259lumat analizi, psixoloji intizam v\u0259 sistemli yana\u015fma t\u0259l\u0259b edir. Azerbaycanda bu f\u0259aliyy\u0259t getdikc\u0259 daha \u00e7ox idman maraql\u0131lar\u0131 t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n maraqla qar\u015f\u0131lan\u0131r, lakin u\u011furlu n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259r \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn s\u0259thi bax\u0131\u015f kifay\u0259t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4252","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-genel"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.durmusotomotiv.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4252"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.durmusotomotiv.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.durmusotomotiv.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.durmusotomotiv.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.durmusotomotiv.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4252"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.durmusotomotiv.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4252\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4253,"href":"https:\/\/www.durmusotomotiv.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4252\/revisions\/4253"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.durmusotomotiv.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4252"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.durmusotomotiv.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4252"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.durmusotomotiv.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4252"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}